Concept
The forward chain that multiplies
A catastrophic story runs in individually plausible steps and compounds down to something far less likely than any step in it. Don't argue the ending; count the links.
Where it appears
Treated in
- Part Two — How to PracticeNaming and DefusingThe self-stories that feel like settled fact — "I always quit" — and the practice of catching them as patterns instead of verdicts.
- Part Four — The Ground UnderneathSystems Theory FoundationsStocks, flows, and feedback loops — the formal machinery underneath the leverage ladder, and the recursion that makes the whole system fractal.